17:28 · Colonial Downs

Race 3 - Starter Allowance

1m3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 959/1
Longhi silks

James Atkins

Longhi

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Caravaggio - Lovely Moment (Equal Stripes)

Jorge Ruiz60%2/4W Bailes60%
677112
7.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

23/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/10 · mark par23/1023/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/11 · mark par12/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par24/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par13/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%23/10Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%12/03Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%13/06Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 89%18/07
Projected finish1st of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Market Fav3
OR 888/1
Patrick's Promise silks

July Cavalry Racing And Taste Of Victory Stables Llc

Patrick's Promise

4yo Gelding · 8-13

Tonalist - Beechwood (Forestry)

Horacio Karamanos60%1/2Michael Trombetta60%
363121
8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

1/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par1/0219/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par24/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par10/05 · C7 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par13/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par6/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%1/02Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 71%24/04Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 86%13/06Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%6/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
Value2
OR 8812/1
La Houligan silks

Mag Racing Stables Llc

La Houligan

4yo Colt · 8-13

War Of Will - Smart Dancer (Smart Strike)

Mychel Sanchez60%1/1Greg Compton
250631
7.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

21/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par21/1112/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par3/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par16/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par3/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par16/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%21/11Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%3/01Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%3/06Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%16/07
Projected finish3rd of 7
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
4
OR 8912/1
Phil's Prince silks

John Davison

Phil's Prince

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Cairo Prince - Dream Of Bertie (Ready's Image)

Kevin GomezMadison Meyers60%
71345
6.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

13/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0823/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par3/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par25/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par16/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par16/11projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%13/08Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%23/08Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%3/10Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%25/10Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%16/11
Projected finish4th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
6
OR 7210/1
Bonfiglio silks

Mauricio Fuentes

Bonfiglio

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Spun To Run - Celtic Tigress (Giant's Causeway)

Samuel Marin60%Robert Werneth
643715
4.0

Class Advantage

21/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par21/118/03 · C9 · finish vs mark above8/03 · mark par4/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par18/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par2/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%21/11Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 78%4/04Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%2/05Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%10/07
Projected finish5th of 7
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
OR 7420/1
Koru silks

Kyle Falvey

Koru

5yo Gelding · 8-11

Hard Spun - Silken Lily (Grand Slam)

Johan Rosado60%2/3Lacey Gaudet60%
731170
5.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

17/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/076/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par17/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par4/10 · C7 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par2/11 · C7 · finish vs mark above2/11 · mark par19/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par19/04projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 45%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%17/09Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%2/11Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 9%19/04
Projected finish6th of 7
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
7
OR 928/1
City Of Oscars silks

Gary Barber

City Of Oscars

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Oscar Performance - City Diva (City Zip)

Sonny Leon60%Mark Casse
453260
3.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

22/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par22/0221/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par19/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par15/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par13/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par12/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%22/02Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%19/04Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%13/06Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 9%12/07
Projected finish7th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend