3

Helecho

9yo Gelding · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Roland Jaffrelot - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 28/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 028/09C?C0 @ Laval 07/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 20/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f114y Std 020/01C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 17/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 26/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 7f219y Std 026/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 13/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04 @ Vichy 28/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 7f219y Std 028/054C0 @ Feurs 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f13y Std 04 @ Vichy 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f219y Std 04/074projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Vichy42nd2nd0
2026-06-12Feurs?5th5th0
2026-05-28Vichy42nd2nd0
2026-05-13Vincennes?5th5th0
2026-04-26Lyon-Parilly?3rd3rd0
2026-04-17Marseille-borely?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0917/0428/054/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength99%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/202512th18/15%27%+0.21
07/11/20257th25/10%60%+0.60
20/01/20269th11/142%33%-0.09
17/04/20265th16/116%64%+0.48
26/04/20263rd40/10%85%+0.85
13/05/20265th17/255%73%+0.18
28/05/20262nd12/137%93%+0.56
12/06/20265th10/147%64%+0.16
04/07/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17