3

Helecho
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Roland Jaffrelot - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Marseille-borely | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength99%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.21 |
| 07/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/01/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.18 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |