9

Kalencio Flac

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Roland Jaffrelot - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#3

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 11/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/08C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 23/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 01/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 02/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 02 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 16/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 016/012C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 25/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 025/02C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 07/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 020/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2026-07-20Cagnes-sur-Mer?4th4th0
2026-07-06Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2026-03-07Cagnes-sur-Mer?5th5th0
2026-02-25Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd2nd0
2026-02-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/082/0125/0220/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength33%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/08/20252nd7/163%88%+0.24
23/08/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
01/12/20259th22/10%47%+0.47
02/01/20266th8/158%29%-0.29
16/01/20264th15/261%57%-0.03
03/02/20262nd7/163%93%+0.30
25/02/20262nd16/116%93%+0.78
07/03/20265th5/174%50%-0.24
20/07/20264th33/10%63%+0.63