5

Kaporal Des Forges

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Roland Jaffrelot - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#9

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 11/10/2024 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 011/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/12/2024 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 31/01/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 031/01C?C0 @ Enghien 19/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 24/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 024/05C?C0 @ Enghien 05/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 07/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y 07/08C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 06/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 020/07C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2026-07-20Cagnes-sur-Mer?5th5th0
2026-07-06Cagnes-sur-Mer?9th9th0
2025-08-07Enghien?6th6th0
2025-07-05Enghien?10th10th0
2025-06-07Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1019/047/0820/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20248th25/10%30%+0.30
14/12/202410th14/126%10%-0.16
31/01/20255th40/10%64%+0.64
19/04/20254th11/142%70%+0.28
24/05/20255th16/116%71%+0.56
05/07/202510th20/10%31%+0.31
07/08/20256th9/153%38%-0.15
06/07/20269th18/15%38%+0.33
20/07/20265th22/10%50%+0.50