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4

Kingsland De Simm

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Roland Jaffrelot - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

91%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lyon-Parilly 15/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 01/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 02/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 02/01C?2 @ Vincennes 22/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 03/02C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 25/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 07/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 07/03C?C0 @ Feurs 20/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Vincennes 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 02/054projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2026-05-02Vincennes42nd2nd0
2026-04-20Feurs?2nd2nd0
2026-03-07Cagnes-sur-Mer?4th4th0
2026-02-25Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st0
2026-02-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1122/017/032/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength97%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/11/20252nd11/271%92%+0.21
01/12/20254th11/142%80%+0.38
02/01/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08
22/01/20263rd12/137%85%+0.48
03/02/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
25/02/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
07/03/20264th10/147%63%+0.15
20/04/20262nd6/594%93%-0.00
02/05/20262nd8/158%93%+0.35