10

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9yo Gelding · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Des Aconits - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#11

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lyon La Soie 20/01/2024 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 020/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 18/02/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 22/03/2024 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 022/03C?C0 @ Marseille 29/03/2024 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 17/04/2024 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 017/04C?C0 @ Marseille 22/06/2024 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 21/03/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 021/03C?C0 @ Marseille 07/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 024/06C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-24Marseille-borely?5th5th0
2025-07-21Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2025-06-07Marseille?3rd3rd0
2025-05-07Marseille-borely?0
2025-03-21Marseille-borely?10th10th0
2024-06-22Marseille?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0129/0321/0324/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/01/20244th10/382%80%-0.02
18/02/20247th40/10%50%+0.50
22/03/20242nd11/486%94%+0.08
29/03/20241st7/282%100%+0.18
17/04/202413th7/163%25%-0.38
22/06/20242nd11/271%93%+0.22
21/03/202510th22/10%36%+0.36
07/06/20253rd20/10%85%+0.85
24/06/20265th9/153%64%+0.11