8

Icare File
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Des Aconits - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Hyeres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Hyeres | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Nimes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Hyeres | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 11/12/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 13/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.09 |
| 31/01/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 93% | +0.09 |
| 03/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |