8

Icare File

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Des Aconits - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Salon-De-Provence 26/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 026/10C?C0 @ Marseille 11/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 27/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 027/12C?6 @ Marseille 13/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 05 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 31/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 031/015C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Nimes 17/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 017/05C?C0 @ Hyeres 27/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Hyeres 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 012/07C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Hyeres?5th5th0
2026-05-27Hyeres?3rd3rd0
2026-05-17Nimes?5th5th0
2026-05-01Hyeres50
2026-03-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?6th6th0
2026-01-31Cagnes-sur-Mer52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1013/0117/0512/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength33%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/10/20258th40/10%42%+0.42
11/12/20255th50/10%71%+0.71
27/12/20252nd7/163%93%+0.30
13/01/20262nd10/382%92%+0.09
31/01/20262nd3/184%93%+0.09
03/03/20266th9/276%50%-0.26
17/05/20265th33/10%71%+0.71
27/05/20263rd10/147%75%+0.28
12/07/20265th25/10%64%+0.64