IvyArcIvyArc
10

L'avenir

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Ouragon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#11

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pontchateau 21/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 021/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 11/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 04 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 08/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 08/0244 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 26/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 24/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14324/03C?4 @ Toulouse 03/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 04 @ Marseille-borely 24/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 024/044C0 @ Vincennes 06/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 25/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 025/074projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Cagnes-sur-Mer44th4th0
2026-05-06Vincennes?8th8th0
2026-04-24Marseille-borely48th8th0
2026-04-03Toulouse46th6th0
2026-03-24Enghien?4th4th0
2026-02-26Cagnes-sur-Mer46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1226/0224/0425/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength51%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/12/20254th11/142%77%+0.35
11/01/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
08/02/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
26/02/20266th50/10%58%+0.58
24/03/20264th10/147%70%+0.23
03/04/20266th28/10%38%+0.38
24/04/20268th25/10%30%+0.30
06/05/20268th100/10%53%+0.53
25/07/20264th40/10%63%+0.63