7

Lady Bird Jenilat
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Ouragon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Vincennes | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 92% | +0.86 |
| 17/10/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 31/10/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 17/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 04/04/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.21 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 85% | +0.27 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |