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Last Des Brousses

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Ouragon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chartres 12/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 012/09C?4 @ Vincennes 25/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04 @ Vincennes 05/02/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 05/0244 @ Vincennes 03/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Enghien 18/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 018/044C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Vincennes 05/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05/0644 @ Vincennes 19/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Std 07/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07La Capelle?1st1st0
2026-06-19Vincennes41st1st0
2026-06-05Vincennes47th7th0
2026-05-20Le Croise-Laroche?4th4th0
2026-04-18Enghien44th4th0
2026-04-03Vincennes44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/093/045/067/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/09/20254th25/10%77%+0.77
25/01/20268th80/10%42%+0.42
05/02/202614th66/10%13%+0.13
03/04/20264th33/10%67%+0.67
18/04/20264th28/10%80%+0.80
20/05/20264th5/174%70%-0.04
05/06/20267th22/10%57%+0.57
19/06/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
07/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16