1

Lazan De Passieu

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Ouragon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cherbourg 18/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 018/08C?C0 @ Graignes 30/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Marseille 11/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 011/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 11/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 03/02C?3 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 12/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 08/03C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 25/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 013/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Cagnes-sur-Mer?3rd3rd0
2026-03-25Marseille-borely?3rd3rd0
2026-03-08Cagnes-sur-Mer?5th5th0
2026-02-12Cagnes-sur-Mer32nd2nd0
2026-02-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?5th5th0
2026-01-11Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0811/018/0313/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/20254th20/10%79%+0.79
30/08/20256th16/116%64%+0.48
11/12/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
11/01/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
03/02/20265th11/486%56%-0.30
12/02/20262nd12/137%86%+0.49
08/03/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
25/03/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
13/07/20263rd16/116%67%+0.51