3
Liberty Pat
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Ouragon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Vincennes | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 01/03/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 08/04/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 62% | -0.15 |
| 17/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 10/12/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 05/02/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 20/02/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 06/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |