8

Lizy Josselyn

5yo Filly · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Ouragon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 12/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/01C?C0 @ Enghien 14/06/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 27/06/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 027/06C?C0 @ Vincennes 06/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 03 @ Vincennes 04/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04/043C0 @ Enghien 27/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 03 @ Enghien 23/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 023/053C0 @ Marseille-borely 24/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 13/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 013/07C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Cagnes-sur-Mer?9th9th0
2026-06-24Marseille-borely?3rd3rd0
2026-05-23Enghien39th9th0
2026-05-09Caen30
2026-04-27Enghien?8th8th0
2026-04-04Vincennes36th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/016/0923/0513/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/01/20254th40/10%63%+0.63
14/06/202514th100/10%13%+0.13
27/06/202514th33/10%13%+0.13
06/09/20254th28/10%67%+0.67
04/04/20266th50/10%67%+0.67
27/04/20268th40/10%42%+0.42
23/05/20269th80/10%43%+0.43
24/06/20263rd12/137%75%+0.38
13/07/20269th33/10%11%+0.11