11
Lucky Love
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Ouragon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Le Mans | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-25 | Vincennes | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength93%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 23/02/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 18/01/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 25/01/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.09 |