8

Houston D'ariane

9yo Gelding · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Siki Du Padouin - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#9

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille 02/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 02/11C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 14/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 0C0 @ Marseille 04/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 04/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 17/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 06 @ Marseille-borely 13/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 013/0367 @ Marseille-borely 27/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 17/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 017/04C?6 @ Marseille-borely 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 03/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 03/06C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-03Marseille-borely?11th11th0
2026-05-15Marseille-borely66th6th0
2026-04-17Marseille-borely?4th4th0
2026-03-27Marseille-borely73rd3rd0
2026-03-13Marseille-borely63rd3rd0
2026-02-17Cagnes-sur-Mer?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1117/0217/043/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/11/20252nd33/10%93%+0.93
14/11/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
04/12/20257th17/255%60%+0.05
17/02/20266th80/10%50%+0.50
13/03/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59
27/03/20263rd22/10%83%+0.83
17/04/20264th16/116%73%+0.57
15/05/20266th50/10%69%+0.69
03/06/202611th40/10%29%+0.29