4

Konrad De Corday

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Siki Du Padouin - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

13%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lyon-Parilly 09/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 09/10C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 17/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Marseille 11/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 011/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 11/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 011/01C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 25/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 07/03C?C0 @ Vincennes 06/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 027/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st0
2026-05-06Vincennes?14th14th0
2026-03-07Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd2nd0
2026-02-25Cagnes-sur-Mer?3rd3rd0
2026-01-11Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st0
2025-12-20Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1020/127/0327/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/20252nd10/382%93%+0.11
17/10/20252nd6/168%94%+0.25
11/12/20252nd5/174%93%+0.20
20/12/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
11/01/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
25/02/20263rd8/158%87%+0.29
07/03/20262nd22/10%88%+0.88
06/05/202614th12/137%13%-0.24
27/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18