3

Kraken Castelets

6yo Horse · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Siki Du Padouin - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#10

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 02/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 02/07C?C0 @ Enghien 07/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y 0C0 @ Vincennes 14/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 014/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 18/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 28/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 028/12C?3 @ Vincennes 15/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05 @ Reims 19/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 019/035C0 @ Cordemais 15/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 06 @ Pornichet 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 016/076projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Pornichet66th6th0
2026-04-15Cordemais?10th10th0
2026-03-19Reims55th5th0
2026-01-15Vincennes36th6th0
2025-12-28Vincennes?9th9th0
2025-11-18Vincennes?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0718/1119/0316/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20254th12/137%73%+0.36
07/08/20254th12/137%75%+0.38
14/10/20252nd9/153%92%+0.39
18/11/20258th3/184%53%-0.31
28/12/20259th25/10%43%+0.43
15/01/20266th40/10%58%+0.58
19/03/20265th4/179%50%-0.29
15/04/202610th6/168%40%-0.28
16/07/20266th66/10%38%+0.38