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2

Manhattan Roussac

4yo Colt · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Des Tourterelles - Attele · 1m 6f 118y

#8

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Craon 29/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 029/09C?C0 @ Laval 01/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Laval 15/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/11C?2 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 05/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 02 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 08/0121 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 21/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 01 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 12/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 012/021C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 020/07C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20Cagnes-sur-Mer?4th4th0
2026-03-08Cagnes-sur-Mer?8th8th0
2026-02-12Cagnes-sur-Mer13rd3rd0
2026-01-21Cagnes-sur-Mer14th4th0
2026-01-08Cagnes-sur-Mer25th5th0
2026-01-05Cagnes-sur-Mer26th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/095/0112/0220/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength18%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/09/20257th50/10%63%+0.63
01/11/20259th80/10%53%+0.53
15/11/20256th28/10%29%+0.29
05/01/20266th25/10%29%+0.29
08/01/20265th66/10%43%+0.43
21/01/20264th50/10%50%+0.50
12/02/20263rd9/153%82%+0.29
08/03/20268th9/276%42%-0.35
20/07/20264th22/10%67%+0.67