8

Midnight Express

4yo Filly · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Des Tourterelles - Attele · 1m 6f 118y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 19/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 019/07C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 17/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 017/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 12/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01 @ Vincennes 19/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 019/021C0 @ Feurs 20/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 020/07C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20Cagnes-sur-Mer?3rd3rd0
2026-05-02Vincennes20
2026-04-20Feurs?4th4th0
2026-02-19Vincennes14th4th0
2026-01-25Vincennes10
2026-01-03Vincennes?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0722/1119/0220/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
30/08/20257th25/10%50%+0.50
17/10/20257th4/179%50%-0.29
22/11/20254th28/10%67%+0.67
12/12/20254th8/158%73%+0.15
03/01/20266th17/255%38%-0.18
19/02/20264th50/10%77%+0.77
20/04/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
20/07/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62