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5

Mistral Lomig

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Des Tourterelles - Attele · 1m 6f 118y

#9

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 07/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 07/11C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 14/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 020/12C?2 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 01 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 12/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 012/021C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 03 @ Marseille-borely 24/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 024/0433 @ Marseille-borely 07/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 02 @ Marseille-borely 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 015/052projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-15Marseille-borely22nd2nd0
2026-05-07Marseille-borely36th6th0
2026-04-24Marseille-borely34th4th0
2026-03-08Cagnes-sur-Mer?6th6th0
2026-02-12Cagnes-sur-Mer15th5th0
2026-01-08Cagnes-sur-Mer26th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/118/0124/0415/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20259th20/10%20%+0.20
14/11/20255th28/10%60%+0.60
20/12/20255th16/116%56%+0.40
08/01/20266th13/266%29%-0.37
12/02/20265th50/10%64%+0.64
08/03/20266th66/10%58%+0.58
24/04/20264th14/126%67%+0.40
07/05/20266th18/15%44%+0.39
15/05/20262nd28/10%86%+0.86