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4

Marie Lou De Larre

4yo Filly · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Manouane - Attele · 1m 6f 118y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chartres 13/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 013/04C?C0 @ Le Mans 26/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 06/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 06/08C?C0 @ Pornichet 28/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Les Sables 04/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 04/09C?C0 @ Chartres 15/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 06 @ Agen 02/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 02/046C0 @ Le Mans 13/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 013/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24La Capelle60
2026-07-13Le Mans?7th7th0
2026-06-04Pontchateau50
2026-04-25Caen50
2026-04-02Agen61st1st0
2026-03-15Chartres?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0428/082/0413/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/04/20259th28/10%20%+0.20
26/07/20254th66/10%70%+0.70
06/08/20255th9/153%56%+0.03
28/08/20257th33/10%45%+0.45
04/09/202511th40/10%9%+0.09
15/03/20266th125/10%55%+0.55
02/04/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
13/07/20267th100/10%60%+0.60