2

Melanie Well

4yo Filly · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Manouane - Attele · 1m 6f 118y

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 02/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 02/01C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 11/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 011/01C?5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 31/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 031/015projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-20Marseille-borely50
2026-01-31Cagnes-sur-Mer58th8th0
2026-01-11Cagnes-sur-Mer?7th7th0
2026-01-02Cagnes-sur-Mer?7th7th0
2025-12-23Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2025-06-20Marseille-borely?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0111/0131/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength24%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/01/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
11/01/20267th6/168%40%-0.28
31/01/20268th33/10%42%+0.42