2

Melanie Well
4yo Filly · 0-0
Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Manouane - Attele · 1m 6f 118y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-31 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-06-20 | Marseille-borely | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength24%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/01/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 31/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |