5
Moon Des Garennes
4yo Filly · 0-0
Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix Manouane - Attele · 1m 6f 118y
#4
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-31 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-19 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 19/01/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 31/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 11/05/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |