12

Napoleon De Gouye

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix De La Croisette - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 26/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 026/0264 @ Salon-De-Provence 21/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 021/054C0 @ Hyeres 26/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 026/06C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 020/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20Cagnes-sur-Mer?3rd3rd0
2026-06-26Hyeres?3rd3rd0
2026-05-21Salon-De-Provence48th8th0
2026-02-26Cagnes-sur-Mer62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0221/0526/0620/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/02/20262nd33/10%86%+0.86
21/05/20268th28/10%50%+0.50
26/06/20263rd40/10%80%+0.80
20/07/20263rd25/10%75%+0.75