12

Napoleon De Gouye
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Cagnes-sur-Mer · Prix De La Croisette - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Hyeres | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 21/05/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |