5

Maestro De Forgan

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Chatelaillon · Prix Le Bistrot De Meme - Attele · 1m 4f 94y

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 08/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 08/04C?C0 @ Chartres 07/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 07/05C?C0 @ Enghien 28/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 028/06C?C0 @ Graignes 20/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 020/11C?C0 @ Reims 15/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 015/04C?C0 @ Chartres 26/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 026/04C?C0 @ Langon-Libourne 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 014/07C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Langon-Libourne?5th5th0
2026-07-06Les Sables?0
2026-06-17Chartres?0
2026-05-31Chartres?0
2026-05-21Le Mans50
2026-04-26Chartres?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0420/1114/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20257th50/10%33%+0.33
07/05/20256th50/10%50%+0.50
28/06/20256th28/10%29%+0.29
20/11/20255th33/10%60%+0.60
15/04/20265th20/10%67%+0.67
26/04/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
14/07/20265th16/116%56%+0.40