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5

Norton Elce

3yo Colt · 0-0

Chatelaillon · Prix Les Granules Rochelais - Attele · 1m 4f 94y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 11/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 011/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 25/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 025/02C?4 @ Enghien 16/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 016/074projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Enghien45th5th0
2026-02-25Vincennes?6th6th0
2025-12-11Vincennes?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1225/0216/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20252nd9/276%91%+0.15
25/02/20266th15/890%55%-0.36
16/07/20265th5/287%43%-0.44