8

Leo Des Malberaux

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Chatelaillon · Prix De L'hippodrome De Challans - Attele · 1m 4f 94y

#4

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 07/09/2024 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 07/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/09/2024 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 132C0 @ Vincennes 20/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 020/05C?C0 @ Laval 04/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 16/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 016/03C?C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 24/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Angers 01/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 01/04C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 04 @ Enghien 09/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 09/074projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Enghien47th7th0
2026-06-30Le Mont-Saint-Michel?0
2026-06-07Chateaubriant?3rd3rd0
2026-05-16Vichy?0
2026-05-03Caen?0
2026-04-18Enghien40

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/094/061/049/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/09/202410th20/10%31%+0.31
22/09/202410th33/10%10%+0.10
20/05/20257th66/10%33%+0.33
04/06/20253rd9/153%85%+0.32
16/03/20268th80/10%50%+0.50
24/03/20262nd12/137%92%+0.55
01/04/20268th28/10%46%+0.46
07/06/20263rd10/147%83%+0.36
09/07/20267th50/10%40%+0.40