2
Lili
5yo Filly · 0-0
Chatelaillon · Prix De L'hippodrome De Challans - Attele · 1m 4f 94y
#8
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Chatelaillon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Toulouse | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Agen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Toulouse | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength34%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 30/01/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 09/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 03/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 23/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |