13

Kapi D'arpent

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Chatelaillon · Prix De L'hippodrome De La Roche-sur-yon - Attele · 1m 5f 10y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Mauquenchy 09/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 09/11C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 27/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 027/11C?C0 @ Enghien 17/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 017/03C?5 @ Caen 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 030/055projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-30Caen54th4th0
2026-03-17Enghien?3rd3rd0
2025-12-21Vincennes?0
2025-11-27Mauquenchy?2nd2nd0
2025-11-09Mauquenchy?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1127/1117/0330/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/11/20258th50/10%53%+0.53
27/11/20252nd18/15%92%+0.87
17/03/20263rd5/174%86%+0.12
30/05/20264th8/158%80%+0.22