1
Kizia Star
6yo Mare · 0-0
Chatelaillon · Prix De L'hippodrome De La Roche-sur-yon - Attele · 1m 5f 10y
#11
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Toulouse | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-04 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-16 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Argentan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Cholet | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2024 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 16/11/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 27/03/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 76% | +0.76 |
| 28/04/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 13/05/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 25/05/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 76% | +0.61 |
| 16/06/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 04/07/2025 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.25 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |