3

Kelly Chaleonnaise

6yo Mare · 0-0

Chatelaillon · Prix De L'hippodrome Des Sables-d'olonne - Attele · 1m 4f 94y

#7

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Angers 08/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 08/01C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/01/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 28/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 028/08C?C0 @ Les Sables 04/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Les Sables 20/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 020/10C?C0 @ Chartres 25/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Cordemais 14/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 014/01C?6 @ Pontchateau 15/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 1437 @ Saint-Malo 09/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 09/077projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Saint-Malo74th4th0
2026-04-09Meslay Du Maine50
2026-02-15Pontchateau64th4th0
2026-01-14Cordemais?6th6th0
2025-11-25Chartres?8th8th0
2025-10-20Les Sables?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/014/0914/019/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/01/20253rd13/266%88%+0.22
27/01/20258th50/10%13%+0.13
28/08/202512th66/10%27%+0.27
04/09/20256th80/10%62%+0.62
20/10/20256th9/276%71%-0.06
25/11/20258th33/10%46%+0.46
14/01/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
15/02/20264th9/276%75%-0.01
09/07/20264th7/163%77%+0.14