4

Kelroc

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Chatelaillon · Prix De L'hippodrome Des Sables-d'olonne - Attele · 1m 4f 94y

#1

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

92%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chateaubriant 03/02/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 03/02C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 11/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 0C0 @ Nantes 29/05/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 029/05C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 13/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 28/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 028/08C?C0 @ Les Sables 20/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 0C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 22/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 022/12C?6 @ Argentan 06/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Chatelaillon 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 027/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Chatelaillon?2nd2nd0
2026-02-06Argentan63rd3rd0
2025-12-22Bordeaux Le Bouscat?1st1st0
2025-10-20Les Sables?4th4th0
2025-08-28Pornichet?6th6th0
2025-07-13Chatelaillon?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0213/0722/1227/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/02/20257th15/261%50%-0.11
11/05/20259th16/116%38%+0.23
29/05/202512th14/126%0%-0.26
13/07/20257th33/10%50%+0.50
28/08/20256th7/163%67%+0.04
20/10/20254th33/10%82%+0.82
22/12/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
06/02/20263rd25/10%86%+0.86
27/07/20262nd14/126%90%+0.64