1

Irpieu De Varville

8yo Horse · 9-13

Chatelaillon · Prix De L'hippodrome De Lucon - Monte · 1m 5f 10y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Mans 16/12/2024 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 14316/12C?C0 @ Cordemais 20/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 143C0 @ Chartres 01/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 1431/06C?C0 @ Les Sables 09/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 143C0 @ Pornichet 17/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 13617/07C?C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 24/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 143C0 @ Cherbourg 06/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 1416/04C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 125C0 @ Pornichet 08/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 1368/07C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Pornichet?5th5th0
2026-05-20Le Croise-Laroche?4th4th0
2026-04-06Cherbourg?7th7th0
2026-03-24Maure De Bretagne?6th6th0
2025-07-17Pornichet?8th8th0
2025-07-09Les Sables?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/129/076/048/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/12/202411th25/10%29%+0.29
20/04/20256th66/10%44%+0.44
01/06/20255th66/10%64%+0.64
09/07/20258th80/10%36%+0.36
17/07/20258th80/10%22%+0.22
24/03/20266th50/10%50%+0.50
06/04/20267th40/10%33%+0.33
20/05/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
08/07/20265th33/10%60%+0.60