7
Ivy Metal
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Chatelaillon · Prix L'ekume - Chatelaillon-plage - Attele · 1m 5f 10y
#3
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-02 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-07 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-02-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-02-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2023 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/02/2023 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 71% | -0.23 |
| 11/05/2023 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 07/08/2023 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 13/01/2024 | 11th | 5/4 | 93% | 23% | -0.70 |
| 09/11/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 02/07/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 23/01/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |