3

Kaporal Du Pont

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Chatelaillon · Prix L'ekume - Chatelaillon-plage - Attele · 1m 5f 10y

#9

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 14/02/2024 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y 014/02C?C0 @ Enghien 08/03/2024 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 19/03/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 019/03C?C0 @ Les Sables 13/07/2024 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Le Mans 27/07/2024 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y 13927/07C?C0 @ Les Sables 28/08/2024 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 0C0 @ Les Sables 03/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 03/06C?C0 @ Chartres 12/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 26/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/09C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-09-26Vincennes?5th5th0
2025-09-12Chartres?10th10th0
2025-06-03Les Sables?6th6th0
2024-09-06Les Sables?0
2024-08-28Les Sables?7th7th0
2024-07-27Le Mans?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0213/073/0626/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20245th18/15%71%+0.66
08/03/20247th28/10%54%+0.54
19/03/20242nd11/142%89%+0.47
13/07/20248th28/10%50%+0.50
27/07/20247th20/10%54%+0.54
28/08/20247th8/158%40%-0.18
03/06/20256th80/10%50%+0.50
12/09/202510th33/10%40%+0.40
26/09/20255th22/10%67%+0.67