5

Keepsake Mossa

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Chatelaillon · Prix Hyper U La Rochelle Beaulieu - Attele · 1m 5f 10y

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 17/04/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 017/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 13/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Les Sables 27/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 027/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 29/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 029/11C?C0 @ Caen 10/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Chartres 17/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 017/06C?C0 @ Les Sables 06/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Le Mans 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 013/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Le Mans?3rd3rd0
2026-07-06Les Sables?4th4th0
2026-06-17Chartres?5th5th0
2026-06-10Caen?11th11th0
2025-12-26Vincennes?0
2025-11-29Vincennes?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/043/1117/0613/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/202510th28/10%40%+0.40
13/06/20255th28/10%71%+0.71
27/08/20259th16/116%27%+0.11
03/11/20255th17/255%67%+0.11
29/11/20252nd28/10%93%+0.93
10/06/202611th80/10%23%+0.23
17/06/20265th66/10%67%+0.67
06/07/20264th22/10%75%+0.75
13/07/20263rd14/126%83%+0.57