3

Kenny Nelger

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Chatelaillon · Prix Hyper U La Rochelle Beaulieu - Attele · 1m 5f 10y

#4

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 29/06/2024 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 029/06C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 03/04/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Les Sables 09/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 09/07C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 09/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 04 @ Nantes 13/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 013/024C0 @ Pontchateau 06/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y 0C0 @ Cordemais 15/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 14315/04C?C0 @ Graignes 28/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 130C0 @ Chartres 17/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 017/06C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-17Chartres?11th11th0
2026-06-01Nantes?0
2026-05-06Graignes?0
2026-04-28Graignes?7th7th0
2026-04-15Cordemais?8th8th0
2026-03-06Pontchateau?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/069/1115/0417/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/202410th10/147%40%-0.07
03/04/202514th100/10%13%+0.13
09/07/20257th6/492%45%-0.47
09/11/202511th22/10%33%+0.33
13/02/20261st25/10%100%+1.00
06/03/20263rd5/174%85%+0.11
15/04/20268th25/10%36%+0.36
28/04/20267th28/10%50%+0.50
17/06/202611th25/10%17%+0.17