10
Coktail
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Clairefontaine · Cheval Percheron - Prix de Brocottes Stakes · 6f 211y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | Chantilly | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2025-08-28 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-06-03 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2025 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 29/04/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/05/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 03/06/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 26/07/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 28/08/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 16/10/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/11/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 09/12/2025 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 7% | -0.09 |