2

Creator

9yo Gelding · 9-1

Clairefontaine · Cheval Percheron - Prix de Brocottes Stakes · 6f 211y

#11

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 11.5 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mont De Marsan 21/09/2019 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 12821/09C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 22/06/2020 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12322/06C5projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2020-06-22Lyon-Parilly?9th12th3
2019-09-21Mont De Marsan?8th11th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0922/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20198th9/153%36%-0.16
22/06/20209th40/10%53%+0.53