Fort Payne
8yo Horse · 9-4 · OR 100
Clairefontaine · Cheval Percheron - Prix de Brocottes Stakes · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Chantilly | 1 | 7th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 6th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Meydan | 1 | 12th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Meydan | ? | 5th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 15/06/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 10/08/2025 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 23/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/03/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |