9
Markus
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Clairefontaine · Cheval Percheron - Prix de Brocottes Stakes · 6f 211y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -6.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 30 | 2nd | 36th | −28 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-16 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength89%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 23/10/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 21/11/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/03/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |