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3

Siam Paragon

7yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 103

Clairefontaine · Cheval Percheron - Prix de Brocottes Stakes · 6f 211y

#5

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.9
Today: 2
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Deauville 04/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 106 · 7f100y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/12/2024 · OR 106 par4/12C1OR 106C5 @ ParisLongchamp 07/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 103 · 6f211y GS 123 · beat its mark07/05/2025 · OR 103 parC1 @ ParisLongchamp 22/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 103 · 7f209y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2025 · OR 103 par22/05C1OR 103C1 @ ParisLongchamp 19/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 103 · 6f211y Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2025 · OR 103 parC1 @ Chantilly 20/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 103 · 7f209y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/07/2025 · OR 103 par20/07C1OR 103C1 @ ParisLongchamp 14/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 103 · 6f211y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 103 parC1 @ Deauville 02/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 106 · 6f211y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/11/2025 · OR 106 par2/11C1OR 106C1 @ Deauville 03/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 106 · 7f100y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/12/2025 · OR 106 par2 @ Chantilly 21/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 106 · 6f211y Std 124 · below its mark21/01/2026 · OR 106 par21/012OR 106projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-21Chantilly27th7th0
2025-12-03Deauville?6th5th+1
2025-11-02Deauville?8th7th+1
2025-09-14ParisLongchamp?3rd1st+1
2025-07-20Chantilly?7th5th+1
2025-06-19ParisLongchamp?2nd0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1219/062/1121/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/12/20244th13/891%77%-0.15
07/05/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
22/05/20252nd10/147%80%+0.33
19/06/20252nd7/491%86%-0.05
20/07/20257th22/10%33%+0.33
14/09/20253rd5/174%71%-0.02
02/11/20258th9/488%50%-0.38
03/12/20256th8/158%64%+0.06
21/01/20267th15/261%0%-0.61