7

Tomakay

5yo Gelding · 8-11

Clairefontaine · Cheval Percheron - Prix de Brocottes Stakes · 6f 211y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Vichy 18/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS18/071C5 @ Deauville 24/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 123C5 @ Marseille 05/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 7f100y Std 1305/11C5C5 @ Chantilly 09/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1302 @ Chantilly 21/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12421/0122 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 01/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f101y Sft 1232 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12323/0523 @ ParisLongchamp 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1253 @ Clairefontaine 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1283/073projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Clairefontaine32nd3rd1
2026-06-15ParisLongchamp32nd3rd1
2026-05-23Bordeaux Le Bouscat23rd3rd0
2026-02-01Cagnes-sur-Mer25th5th0
2026-01-21Chantilly22nd2nd0
2025-12-09Chantilly?1st4th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/079/1223/053/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength82%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20256th4/179%29%-0.50
24/08/20252nd15/890%88%-0.03
05/11/20251st5/696%100%+0.04
09/12/20251st5/696%100%+0.04
21/01/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05
01/02/20265th8/1196%33%-0.63
23/05/20263rd9/488%80%-0.08
15/06/20262nd8/1597%83%-0.14
03/07/20262nd5/493%88%-0.06