7

Tomakay
5yo Gelding · 8-11
Clairefontaine · Cheval Percheron - Prix de Brocottes Stakes · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Chantilly | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 05/11/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 09/12/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 8/11 | 96% | 33% | -0.63 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 83% | -0.14 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 88% | -0.06 |