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Adicta

3yo Filly · 8-11

Clairefontaine · Abeille Noire de Normandie - Prix des Gardenias Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#3

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Tarbes 30/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f100y GS 12330/08C5C8 @ Toulouse 24/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12824/09C8C5 @ Pau 13/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12813/11C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 15/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f209y 12415/07C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15La Teste De Buch?2nd2nd0
2025-11-13Pau?2nd2nd0
2025-09-24Toulouse?2nd6th−4
2025-08-30Tarbes?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0824/0913/1115/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength65%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20254th25/10%57%+0.57
24/09/20252nd18/15%92%+0.87
13/11/20252nd11/271%92%+0.21
15/07/20262nd22/10%83%+0.83