6

Etapark

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Clairefontaine · Abeille Noire de Normandie - Prix des Gardenias Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Nantes 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12329/05C5C5 @ Compiegne 09/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1209/06C5C5 @ Dieppe 23/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12323/06C5projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-23Dieppe?11th11th0
2026-06-09Compiegne?9th9th0
2026-05-29Nantes?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/059/0623/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20264th5/174%63%-0.11
09/06/20269th40/10%33%+0.33
23/06/202611th20/10%17%+0.17