11

Ivanovka

3yo Filly · 8-5

Clairefontaine · Abeille Noire de Normandie - Prix des Gardenias Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 22/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12822/04C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 22/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12822/05C5projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-22Saint-Cloud?7th7th0
2026-04-22Chantilly?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0422/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
22/05/20267th25/10%40%+0.40