8

Purple Ray

3yo Filly · 8-5

Clairefontaine · Abeille Noire de Normandie - Prix des Gardenias Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 10/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12810/11C5C5 @ Chantilly 09/12/2025 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1289/12C5C5 @ Deauville 29/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12829/12C5C0 @ Dieppe 09/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1279/07C?C0 @ Dieppe 30/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 13030/07C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Dieppe?6th6th0
2026-07-09Dieppe?10th10th0
2025-12-29Deauville?9th9th0
2025-12-09Chantilly?14th14th0
2025-11-10Chantilly?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/119/1229/129/0730/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/11/20256th66/10%55%+0.55
09/12/202514th50/10%7%+0.07
29/12/20259th80/10%38%+0.38
09/07/202610th25/10%10%+0.10
30/07/20266th33/10%67%+0.67