9

Sonarah

3yo Filly · 8-5

Clairefontaine · Abeille Noire de Normandie - Prix des Gardenias Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#6

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lignieres 29/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12029/11C5C5 @ Pornichet 03/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 128C5 @ Pornichet 24/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 12824/01C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 13/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 127C5 @ Argentan 09/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 1249/04C5C5 @ Senonnes-Pouance 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 120C0 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12213/07C?C5 @ Vichy 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12425/07C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Vichy?5th5th0
2026-07-13Dieppe?7th7th0
2026-07-02Senonnes-Pouance?4th4th0
2026-04-09Argentan?5th5th0
2026-03-13Fontainebleau?5th5th0
2026-01-24Pornichet?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1113/0313/0725/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength38%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/11/202511th20/10%23%+0.23
03/01/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
24/01/202612th9/153%0%-0.53
13/03/20265th10/147%73%+0.26
09/04/20265th5/174%50%-0.24
02/07/20264th17/255%73%+0.17
13/07/20267th9/153%60%+0.07
25/07/20265th11/142%43%+0.01