2

Victoria Secret
3yo Filly · 8-12
Clairefontaine · Abeille Noire de Normandie - Prix des Gardenias Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength86%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.27 |
| 05/03/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 31/03/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 53% | +0.01 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |