2

Victoria Secret

3yo Filly · 8-12

Clairefontaine · Abeille Noire de Normandie - Prix des Gardenias Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 22/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 7f100y Ver 11222/02C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 05/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 122C5 @ Fontainebleau 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12013/03C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 31/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 117C5 @ ParisLongchamp 07/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1217/05C5C0 @ Nancy 20/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 132C0 @ Compiegne 05/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1385/06C?C5 @ ParisLongchamp 02/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 124C0 @ Vittel 19/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 13619/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Vittel?3rd3rd0
2026-07-02ParisLongchamp?6th6th0
2026-06-05Compiegne?8th8th0
2026-05-20Nancy?1st1st0
2026-05-07ParisLongchamp?3rd3rd0
2026-03-31Fontainebleau?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0231/035/0619/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength86%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/02/20269th13/266%38%-0.27
05/03/20268th22/10%46%+0.46
13/03/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
31/03/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
07/05/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15
20/05/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
05/06/20268th9/153%53%+0.01
02/07/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
19/07/20263rd5/287%78%-0.09