1
Edibest Fal
4yo Gelding · 9-10
Clairefontaine · Vaches Normandes - Prix des Sources Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Nantes | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Pornichet | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 64% | -0.21 |
| 05/12/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 79% | +0.23 |
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 25/02/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 29/05/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 10% | +0.05 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |